Is time up for Watches of Switzerland shares?

Many traders could say the clock could also be ticking on Watches of Switzerland (LSE:WOSG) shares as a horny funding. This luxurious watch retailer has seen its share value plummet practically 38% over the previous 12 months, considerably underperforming each its trade friends and the broader UK market. However does this current a golden alternative for savvy traders? Let’s take a more in-depth look.

Out of time?

The corporate operates as a retailer of luxurious watches and jewelry within the UK, Europe, and the US. Whereas the enterprise boasts a powerful heritage courting again to 1775, its latest efficiency has been lower than stellar.

The agency’s revenue margins have taken a big hit, dropping from 7.9% final 12 months to only 3.8% in the newest report. This compression in profitability is a pink flag that shouldn’t be ignored. Moreover, the corporate’s share value has proven excessive volatility, falling an enormous 37% in a single day again in January after releasing a revenue warning.

Most worrying for me, a discounted money circulation (DCF) evaluation suggests the corporate is already overvalued by an unimaginable 287%. That is admittedly only one metric, however with traders already down considerably for the 12 months, I’d be nervous about additional difficulties forward.

Indicators of optimism

Nonetheless, it’s not all dangerous information for Watches of Switzerland. The corporate’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.3 instances is barely beneath the UK market common of 16.7 instances, suggesting it could be buying and selling at a good worth in comparison with its friends. Moreover, analysts are forecasting wholesome earnings progress of 17.35% per 12 months.

The corporate additionally seems to be in good monetary well being, with more money than debt. This stable basis might assist the agency climate short-term storms and place itself for future progress.

The analyst neighborhood appears divided on Watches of Switzerland’s prospects. The shares presently have a ‘reasonable purchase’ consensus score, primarily based on 6 ‘purchase’ scores and three ‘maintain’ scores from analysts over the previous three months. The common value goal of 486.38p represents a possible progress of practically 18% from the present share value.

Nonetheless, it’s value noting that some analysts have lately lowered their value targets. Financial institution of America Securities, as an example, diminished their goal from 700p to 650p whereas sustaining a ‘maintain’ score.

One to look at

So, is time up for Watches of Switzerland shares? Whereas the corporate faces vital challenges, together with compressed margins and a difficult macroeconomic surroundings, it’s maybe too quickly to name time on this luxurious retailer.

Regardless of some combined scores and valuations, the agency’s sturdy steadiness sheet and projected earnings progress recommend there should be life within the outdated timepiece but. Nonetheless, potential traders ought to concentrate on the dangers, together with the corporate’s latest underperformance and share value volatility.

So whereas the Watches of Switzerland share value should have some ticks left in it, solely time will inform if it might regain its lustre as a standout funding within the UK market. I’ll be including it to my watchlist for now.