HomeInvestingThe Rightmove share price is too hot… a pullback could be coming
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The Rightmove share price is too hot… a pullback could be coming

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Picture supply: Getty Photos

The Rightmove (LSE:RMV) share worth fell in early buying and selling on Friday (25 July) after the UK’s main on-line property portal reported its outcomes for the primary half of the 12 months. Whereas the corporate carried out nicely in H1, beating estimates, traders responded cautiously because of delicate steerage for the again half of the 12 months.

What occurred in H1

Rightmove delivered income of £211.7m for the six months to 30 June, up 10% on final 12 months. This progress was primarily pushed by sustained demand for Rightmove’s premium merchandise amongst property brokers and builders, in addition to robust contributions from progress verticals akin to rental listings, mortgages, and industrial property. It is a diversification technique that continues to pay dividends amid a subdued new-build housing market.

In the meantime, working income rose by 10% whereas margins remained constantly robust round 70%. Trying forward nonetheless, the corporate pointed to a softer H2 largely because of comparative file efficiency of H2 in 2024. Administration maintained its full-year steerage of 8–10% income progress and the board accepted a 9% improve in dividend funds.

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CEO Johan Svanstrom additionally famous that investments in knowledge analytics and synthetic intelligence (AI) had been enhancing the corporate’s proposition, whereas new-build builders had been more and more turning to Rightmove’s advertising and marketing instruments to fight a post-pandemic low in new-to-resale house ratios.

Share worth could also be too scorching

Rightmove hasn’t been on my radar a lot just lately, however the inventory has clearly carried out nicely in latest months. Nevertheless, it could have pushed too excessive.

Analysts’ consensus locations the typical worth goal barely under the present share worth, at about 722p. This means the inventory’s overvalued by round 9%. Probably the most bearish of analysts consider the inventory’s overvalued by as a lot as 35%. In the meantime, essentially the most bullish analysts sees honest worth 18% larger.

Regardless of this, the consensus view is Maintain and several other brokerages proceed to emphasize Rightmove’s entrenched market management, scalable platform, and diversified income streams as enticing attributes, particularly in unsure market circumstances.

Nevertheless, I are inclined to aspect with the extra bearish analysts. The inventory’s buying and selling round 28 occasions ahead earnings on a statutory foundation. This falls to 24.9 occasions for 2026 and 22.1 occasions for 2027, however these figures nonetheless symbolize a substantial premium to the market.

A premium price-to-earnings (P/E) is okay if the inventory makes up for it elsewhere. The stability sheet’s sturdy with a modest internet money place and the margins are very robust. Nevertheless, the forecasted earnings progress price is just too weak to justify this P/E, for my part. In reality, the price-to-earnings-to-growth ratio’s almost two — a mirrored image of a possible overvaluation.

Even factoring within the dividends, I believe it’s somewhat overvalued. Primarily based on right now’s worth, the dividend yield‘s projected to rise progressively from round 1.34% in 2025 to 1.69% by 2027.

Maybe unsurprisingly, I’m not including this one to my portfolio any time quickly. I believe traders ought to contemplate trying elsewhere till a greater entry level seems.

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